March,19 2021

Creating a Secure Retirement: A Case Study

Introduction

Planning for retirement can be overwhelming, especially when considering the various strategies needed to secure your financial future. At Considerate Capital, we aim to simplify this process by breaking down complex concepts into actionable insights. In this article, we’ll walk you through a case study to illustrate how to tie together tax, withdrawal, and investment strategies to make informed decisions for your retirement.

Case Study: Understanding the Scenario

Let’s dive into an example: A recent retiree, who recently retired at 61, has the following assets:

  • $2.0 million in traditional IRAs
  • $600,000 in taxable savings
  • $250,000 in a Roth IRA
  • $65,000 in annual pension income

This couple is currently deferring Social Security until age 70 to maximize their benefits. Their primary concern is managing the substantial funds in their traditional IRAs to minimize future Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) and potential tax burdens.

Key Considerations

Before we dive into the strategy, here are a few important disclaimers:

  1. State Taxes: This couple lives in Illinois, which has a state income tax. If you live in a state with no income taxes, this will need to be factored into your calculations.
  2. Living Expenses: We don’t have detailed information about their living expenses, risk tolerance, or other financial goals, so these assumptions are crucial for the analysis.

The Situation

The retiree’s question boils down to this: Should they draw down their traditional IRAs to cover living expenses, or should they convert some of these funds into Roth IRAs now, while tax rates are historically low?

Breaking Down the Strategies

Scenario 1: No Withdrawals or Conversions

If this couple lives solely on their pension and taxable accounts, the $2 million in their traditional IRAs could grow substantially over the next 11 years. Assuming a 7% annual growth rate, their IRA balance could reach $4.2 million by the time they turn 72. However, this growth comes with a caveat: RMDs would kick in at 72, potentially pushing them into a much higher tax bracket, especially if tax rates increase in the future.

Scenario 2: IRA Withdrawals to Cover Expenses

Another strategy involves withdrawing from their traditional IRAs now to cover living expenses, thereby reducing the balance and the future RMDs. This approach could spread out the tax burden over several years, potentially keeping them in a lower tax bracket.

Scenario 3: Roth Conversions

The third and potentially most impactful option is to convert a portion of their traditional IRAs into Roth IRAs. Roth conversions allow you to pay taxes at the current rate, and the funds grow tax-free thereafter. Given the current historically low tax rates, this could be a strategic move to minimize taxes over the long term.

Example Calculation

Let’s assume their pension income is $65,000 per year. After the standard deduction, their taxable income is reduced to about $40,000. This places them in a low tax bracket today. By converting an additional $41,000 from their IRA to a Roth IRA, they would still remain within the 12% tax federal bracket, avoiding much higher taxes in the future.

This strategy, often referred to as “tax arbitrage,” allows them to take advantage of low tax rates today to avoid paying much higher rates in the future.

Finding the Right Balance

The goal is not to convert all traditional IRA funds to Roth IRAs at once but to strategically manage these conversions to balance current and future tax liabilities. Converting enough to fill up the 12% tax bracket could be a good starting point, especially if significant future income or RMDs are expected.

Conclusion

Understanding how different financial strategies interconnect is crucial for effective retirement planning. Whether it’s managing withdrawals, optimizing Roth conversions, or balancing investment portfolios, having a comprehensive strategy is key to creating a secure retirement.

If you found this article helpful and want to learn more about retirement planning strategies, be sure to check out our other articles. For personalized advice and to explore how we can help you create a tailored retirement plan, visit us at Considerate Capital.

 

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